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UK North Sea oil regulator raises outlook for investment, output

Olga Tanas and Elena Mazneva March 25, 2025

(Bloomberg) 鈥 The UK鈥檚 North Sea oil and gas regulator raised its forecasts for investment and production in the coming years after 2024 figures were higher than expected.

The North Sea Transition Authority said capital expenditure totaled 拢5.95 billion ($7.7 billion) last year, more than 50% above an October projection, according to estimates听published听on its website. While investments are expected to be lower this year at 拢4.8 billion, they鈥檙e still significantly above a previous forecast published after the Labour government raised taxes on the oil and gas industry.听

Oil and gas investments in the UK鈥檚 aging basin are a widely watched indicator as the government听has started consultations听about the future of the North Sea. Companies have been complaining about high tax burdens and policy uncertainty, with some looking for projects elsewhere.

The revision was based on updated data from the industry, NSTA said in response to Bloomberg questions, without elaborating.听

Last year鈥檚 surge of upstream investment 鈥渉as come, in large part, as a result of some significant oil and gas developments moving forward over the last couple of years,鈥 the industry lobby group Offshore Energies UK听said听in its business outlook earlier on Tuesday.

The NSTA also slightly raised its estimates for Britain鈥檚 oil and gas output. Last year, UK producers pumped 1.09 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (boed), 20,000 barrels more than forecast in October. In 2030, daily output is projected to almost halve to 0.62 million boed.听

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